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4. A company has developed a linear trend regression model based on 16 quarters of data. The independent variable is the measure of time (t = 1 thru 16 where quarter 1 is winter quarter, 2 is spring, etc.). The company has also developed seasonal indexes for each quarter as follows: The linear trend forecast equation is: $\hat{y} = 120 + 56t$. Given this information, what is the seasonally adjusted forecast for period 19? (A) 1,064 (B) 1,184 (C) 828.80 (D) 986.7

3. Which of the following forecasting methods allows the decision maker to weigh the past time series differently to make the model more sensitive to more recent data? (A) Exponential smoothing (B) Linear trend regression model (C) Moving average model (D) De-seasonalizing the time series

2. In a simple exponential smoothing model, which of the following statements is true? (A) The forecast values are determined by computing a moving average of the previous 4 data periods if we are working with quarterly data. (B) The larger the smoothing constant, the more smoothing that takes place in the model. (C) If the data contain a lot of random or irregular ups and downs, then a larger smoothing constant should be used in an attempt to model these fluctuations. (D) More smoothing of the data will take place if a smoothing constant value close to zero is used.

6. [15%] Two groups of people are surveyed. In a sample of 55 drivers who are single people, they drive, on average, 79 miles per week for trips. In a sample of 70 married people, they drive, on average, 67 miles per week for trips. The sample standard deviations are 16 and 8 miles, respectively. At α = 0.01, can it be concluded that single people do more driving for trips than married people? Explain your answer in details.

(c) Find the probability that 2 women and 1 man are hired.

(b) Find the probability that no women are hired.

測試用

講師：tina

簡介：國中會考國文命題 1 2 3 4 5

國中數學(練習用)

講師：tina

簡介：國中會考數學練習

123

講師：1

簡介：123

甲種

描述：練習

test

描述：test

test

描述：test

14 病人的角膜弧度為 40.50@180/43.50@090，鏡框度數-3.00DS/-3.50DC×180，請問那種隱形眼鏡最適 合這位病人？ (A)硬式後散 (B)硬式前散 (C)硬式雙散，球面度數效應（spherical power effect） (D)硬式雙散，柱面度數效應（cylindrical power effect）

77. 校園推展「蟲蟲特攻隊」，由校長、教師及學生共同計畫並執行校園內登革熱防治相關 活動，主要是應用社區健康促進介入措施中的哪一項？ (A)行為改變 (B)巧推 (C)教育 (D)賦權

47 警員甲以一行為觸犯公文書登載不實罪及對於違背職務之行為受賄罪，其中公文書登載不實罪業經發覺， 不符合自首，但甲於檢察官訊問時，除自白公文書登載不實犯行外，並就未經發覺之對於違背職務之行為受賄罪，主動坦承犯行，並繳交犯罪所得，檢察官乃據以提起公訴。下列關於甲行為之論罪敘述，依實務 見解，何者正確？ (A)依貪污治罪條例關於自首規定，減輕或免除其刑 (B)依貪污治罪條例關於自白規定，減輕其刑 (C)本件無從依自首或自白規定，減輕或免除其刑 (D)甲之行為應以公文書登載不實罪，但因該犯行業經發覺，故無從依自首規定，減輕其刑

48 甲故意毆傷乙，乙因傷重死亡，甲成立何罪？ (A)故意殺人罪 (B)僅成立過失致人於死罪 (C)傷害致人於死罪 (D)僅成立傷害罪

61. 公制 1/50mm 的游標卡尺，可讀出最小尺度為________mm。 (A)0.001 (B)0.01 (C)0.02 (D)0.05 

19. Under no circumstances __ access confidential client records without prior written authorization from the compliance officer.(A) employees should(B) should employees(C) employees shall(D) do employees